Black Friday

Windy with a mix of sun and clouds. Scattered showers or flurries possible. Temperatures steady in the low to mid 40s and then falling during the afternoon. Winds NW 25-30 with higher gusts. Wind chills in the 30s. Chance of precipitation 30%.

Black Friday Surprise?

2009 November 23

Thanksgiving in the Nation’s Capital will feature mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the upper 50s.  A major pattern change is on the way. A strong cold front will move through the Washington Metropolitan Area on Thursday evening ushering in very cold air.  Behind this frontal passage the jet stream will carve out a deep, inverted trough. At the same time a coastal storm will form somewhere off the Carolina coast.  The exact track of this coastal storm and its interaction with the deepening upper level low over the Appalachians will dictate who gets accumulating snow and who sees conversational snow showers on Friday.

COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM LATE WEEK

Right now the GFS computer model has been back and forth with the tracks of these features.  Friday shoppers across the Washington Area should dress for temperatures in the 30s (maybe lower 40s) with wind chills in the upper 20s! As this storm system really deepens off of the New England coast Friday winds will increase out of the north/northwest and will gust to 30 mph.  The mountains will likely see accumulating snows for a White ‘Black Friday’.  It is too early to tell whether the immediate Washington DC Area will see snow flurries, accumulating snow showers or just clouds on Friday.  Stay tuned.

WHITE = ACCUMULATING SNOW; BLUE = POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS